← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1469739

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

3.5% implied · bid 3.2¢ · ask 3.7¢

The market prices this at 3.2%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability3.2%

Bid / ask / mid3.2¢ / 3.7¢ / 3.5¢

Spread0.5¢ (14.5%)

Change 24h+0.10pt

Change 7d+0.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$413

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$662 / $1,940

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.8 / 100

RSI 75 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.81

RSI (14, hourly)75.0

Realized vol 7d0.09pt

Change 1h+0.15pt

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%