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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1535123

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

22.0% implied · bid 20.9¢ · ask 23.1¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 21.5%, up 1.8pt over 24h, on a 2.2¢ spread.

Implied probability21.5%
Bid / ask / mid20.9¢ / 23.1¢ / 22.0¢
Spread2.2¢ (10.0%)
Change 24h+1.85pt
Change 7d+1.25pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 40/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$655
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,002 / $133
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score39.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.27
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.39pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 118d 11h.

Time to resolve118d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth