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Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

99.6% implied · bid 99.4¢ · ask 99.8¢

The market prices this at 99.8%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability99.8%

Bid / ask / mid99.4¢ / 99.8¢ / 99.6¢

Spread0.4¢ (0.4%)

Change 24h+0.55pt

Change 7d+1.05pt

Moderately liquid (score 58/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 93% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$5,811

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$17,025 / $3,493

Imbalance93% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score58.3 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.37

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.04pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1d 6h.

Time to resolve1d 6h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%