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Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

0.3% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 0.4¢

The market prices this at 0.2%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.2%

Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 0.4¢ / 0.3¢

Spread0.2¢ (66.7%)

Change 24h+0.05pt

Change 7d-0.15pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$213

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6 / $47

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.0 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.33

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.11pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1d 6h.

Time to resolve1d 6h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%