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Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

0.3% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 0.4¢

The market prices this at 0.3%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.3%

Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 0.4¢ / 0.3¢

Spread0.2¢ (66.7%)

Change 24h-0.20pt

Change 7d-0.45pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$203

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $150

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.1 / 100

RSI 20 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.32

RSI (14, hourly)20.0

Realized vol 7d0.10pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 1d 6h.

Time to resolve1d 6h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%