← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1808548
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
62.0% implied · bid 61.0¢ · ask 63.0¢
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The market prices this at 61.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability61.0%
Bid / ask / mid61.0¢ / 63.0¢ / 62.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.2%)
Change 24h+4.00pt
Change 7d+6.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$22,735
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16,939 / $9,171
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score53.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 84 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.12
RSI (14, hourly)84.2
Realized vol 7d1.20pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 95d 7h.
Time to resolve95d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%