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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1831352

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

94.8% implied · bid 93.5¢ · ask 96.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 93.2%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 2.5¢ spread.

Implied probability93.2%
Bid / ask / mid93.5¢ / 96.0¢ / 94.8¢
Spread2.5¢ (2.6%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+88.95pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 43% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,326
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,406 / $9,721
Imbalance43% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score43.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 98 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.23
RSI (14, hourly)97.9
Realized vol 7d6.07pt
Change 1h+0.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 9h.

Time to resolve25d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth