← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1831353

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

4.6% implied · bid 2.8¢ · ask 6.4¢

The market prices this at 6.4%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 3.6¢ spread.

Implied probability6.4%

Bid / ask / mid2.8¢ / 6.4¢ / 4.6¢

Spread3.6¢ (78.3%)

Change 24h+0.25pt

Change 7d-0.15pt

Thin (score 32/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$16

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$90 / $37

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score32.1 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.45

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.25pt

Change 1h+0.15pt

Resolves in 25d 9h.

Time to resolve25d 9h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%