← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1831354

Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

6.3% implied · bid 3.8¢ · ask 8.9¢

The market prices this at 3.2%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 5.1¢ spread.

Implied probability3.2%

Bid / ask / mid3.8¢ / 8.9¢ / 6.3¢

Spread5.1¢ (80.3%)

Change 24h+3.00pt

Change 7d+2.90pt

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$181

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$31 / $37

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score24.5 / 100

RSI 76 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.24

RSI (14, hourly)75.6

Realized vol 7d0.24pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 25d 9h.

Time to resolve25d 9h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%