← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1831355

Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

1.6% implied · bid 1.3¢ · ask 1.9¢

The market prices this at 1.1%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.

Implied probability1.1%

Bid / ask / mid1.3¢ / 1.9¢ / 1.6¢

Spread0.6¢ (37.5%)

Change 24h+0.15pt

Change 7d+0.15pt

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $1

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score47.0 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.03

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.36pt

Change 1h+0.15pt

Resolves in 25d 9h.

Time to resolve25d 9h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%