Refacto TerminalPolymarket
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1861361

Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

96.0% implied · bid 96.0¢ · ask 96.1¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 96.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability96.0%
Bid / ask / mid96.0¢ / 96.1¢ / 96.0¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.10pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 61/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 26% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$28
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$621 / $21,718
Imbalance26% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score60.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.17
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.21pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 483d 12h.

Time to resolve483d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth