← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1861376
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
97.8% implied · bid 97.7¢ · ask 97.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 97.8%, up 0.9pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability97.8%
Bid / ask / mid97.7¢ / 97.9¢ / 97.8¢
Spread0.2¢ (0.2%)
Change 24h+0.90pt
Change 7d-0.15pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 58% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$200
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,005 / $6,547
Imbalance58% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score52.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.20
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.28pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 483d 12h.
Time to resolve483d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%