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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2118801

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

47.5% implied · bid 47.0¢ · ask 48.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 48.0%, down 10.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability48.0%
Bid / ask / mid47.0¢ / 48.0¢ / 47.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h-10.50pt
Change 7d-0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,291
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,536 / $2,314
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 30 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.06
RSI (14, hourly)29.8
Realized vol 7d1.53pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 11d 7h.

Time to resolve11d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth