Refacto TerminalPolymarket
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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2118802

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

0.6% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 0.9¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.9%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.

Implied probability0.9%
Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 0.9¢ / 0.6¢
Spread0.6¢ (100.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.25pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,390
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11 / $119
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.85
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.05pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 11d 7h.

Time to resolve11d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth