← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2118805
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
52.0% implied · bid 51.0¢ · ask 53.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 48.0%, up 10.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability48.0%
Bid / ask / mid51.0¢ / 53.0¢ / 52.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.8%)
Change 24h+10.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,731
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,108 / $1,706
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 74 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.45
RSI (14, hourly)74.4
Realized vol 7d1.49pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 11d 7h.
Time to resolve11d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%