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Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?

4.5% implied · bid 3.3¢ · ask 5.7¢

The market prices this at 3.1%, up 0.6pt over 24h, on a 2.4¢ spread.

Implied probability3.1%

Bid / ask / mid3.3¢ / 5.7¢ / 4.5¢

Spread2.4¢ (53.3%)

Change 24h+0.60pt

Change 7d-0.50pt

Thin (score 38/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$24

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$64 / $77

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score38.1 / 100

RSI 52 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.09

RSI (14, hourly)52.0

Realized vol 7d0.30pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 29d 4h.

Time to resolve29d 4h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%