← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2133900
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
63.5% implied · bid 63.0¢ · ask 64.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 65.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability65.0%
Bid / ask / mid63.0¢ / 64.0¢ / 63.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d-5.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$31
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$991 / $1,375
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 40 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.12
RSI (14, hourly)40.0
Realized vol 7d0.69pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 30d 6h.
Time to resolve30d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%