← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2176270

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

26.5% implied · bid 26.0¢ · ask 27.0¢

The market prices this at 27.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability27.0%

Bid / ask / mid26.0¢ / 27.0¢ / 26.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (3.8%)

Change 24h-1.00pt

Change 7d-6.00pt

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 26% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$36,770

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$130,740 / $38,838

Imbalance26% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score95.0 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.87

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.48pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%