← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2243308
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.4%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability9.4%
Bid / ask / mid9.4¢ / 9.5¢ / 9.4¢
Spread0.1¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h-0.40pt
Change 7d-1.60pt
Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,372
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,373 / $17,402
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score59.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.45
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.10pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 254d 4h.
Time to resolve254d 4h
Resolution sourceunknown
Rules riskmedium (35)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.