← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2244513
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
18.5% implied · bid 18.0¢ · ask 19.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 20.0%, down 3.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability20.0%
Bid / ask / mid18.0¢ / 19.0¢ / 18.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (5.4%)
Change 24h-3.50pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$9,816
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,098 / $2,587
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score47.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.56
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.94pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1d 6h.
Time to resolve1d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%