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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

0.1% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.2¢

The market prices this at 0.1%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.1%

Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.2¢ / 0.1¢

Spread0.1¢ (66.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,278,752

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$741 / $4,664

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)21

Liquidity score52.2 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.13

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.01pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 11d 7h.

Time to resolve11d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%