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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2252244

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

47.5% implied · bid 47.0¢ · ask 48.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 48.0%, down 10.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability48.0%
Bid / ask / mid47.0¢ / 48.0¢ / 47.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h-10.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,424,307
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$101,402 / $150,745
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)42
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 27 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.08
RSI (14, hourly)27.3
Realized vol 7d1.45pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 11d 7h.

Time to resolve11d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth