← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2252245
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
51.5% implied · bid 51.0¢ · ask 52.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 52.0%, up 11.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability52.0%
Bid / ask / mid51.0¢ / 52.0¢ / 51.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.9%)
Change 24h+11.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$734,158
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$133,045 / $121,414
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)32
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 71 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.29
RSI (14, hourly)71.4
Realized vol 7d1.46pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 11d 7h.
Time to resolve11d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%