← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2252246
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
0.8% implied · bid 0.7¢ · ask 0.8¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.7%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability0.7%
Bid / ask / mid0.7¢ / 0.8¢ / 0.8¢
Spread0.1¢ (13.3%)
Change 24h+0.20pt
Change 7d+0.30pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 66/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$561,124
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16,010 / $17,925
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)4
Liquidity score66.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 63 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.34
RSI (14, hourly)62.5
Realized vol 7d0.06pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 11d 7h.
Time to resolve11d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%