← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2304227
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
1.1% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 1.2¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.2%, down 0.8pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability1.2%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 1.2¢ / 1.1¢
Spread0.2¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h-0.75pt
Change 7d+0.05pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,419
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$240 / $489
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 6 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.39
RSI (14, hourly)5.9
Realized vol 7d0.10pt
Change 1h-0.30pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 8d 6h.
Time to resolve8d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%