← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2304228
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
82.5% implied · bid 82.0¢ · ask 83.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 83.0%, up 7.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability83.0%
Bid / ask / mid82.0¢ / 83.0¢ / 82.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h+7.00pt
Change 7d+15.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 56/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$8,510
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,516 / $18,902
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score55.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.61
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.57pt
Change 1h+2.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 8d 6h.
Time to resolve8d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%