← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2304229
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
17.5% implied · bid 17.0¢ · ask 18.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 20.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability20.0%
Bid / ask / mid17.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 17.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (5.7%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d-14.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,785
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,762 / $1,931
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.50
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.56pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 8d 7h.
Time to resolve8d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%