← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2317467
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?
8.0% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 9.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 8.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability8.0%
Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 8.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (25.0%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$367
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$399 / $218
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.47
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.20pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%