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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2364961

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

43.5% implied · bid 43.0¢ · ask 44.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 44.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability44.0%
Bid / ask / mid43.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 43.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.3%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d-7.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,515
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,110 / $1,223
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.56
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.07pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 118d 11h.

Time to resolve118d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth