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Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

12.5% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 13.0¢

The market prices this at 13.0%, up 5.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability13.0%

Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (8.0%)

Change 24h+5.00pt

Change 7d+4.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$14,398

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,721 / $502

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score47.1 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.7σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean4.69

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.50pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 117d 10h.

Time to resolve117d 10h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%