← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2431413

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

63.0% implied · bid 62.0¢ · ask 64.0¢

The market prices this at 64.0%, up 3.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability64.0%

Bid / ask / mid62.0¢ / 64.0¢ / 63.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (3.2%)

Change 24h+3.50pt

Change 7d-5.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$9,281

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,317 / $5,030

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score43.7 / 100

RSI 64 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.89

RSI (14, hourly)63.6

Realized vol 7d0.89pt

Change 1h+0.50pt

Resolves in 117d 10h.

Time to resolve117d 10h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%