← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2467207
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
71.5% implied · bid 70.0¢ · ask 73.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 72.0%, down 6.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability72.0%
Bid / ask / mid70.0¢ / 73.0¢ / 71.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (4.2%)
Change 24h-6.50pt
Change 7d+2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 47% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$15,206
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,060 / $8,880
Imbalance47% bid
Large trades (>$1k)4
Liquidity score43.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 24 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.73
RSI (14, hourly)24.3
Realized vol 7d1.49pt
Change 1h+1.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%