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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2467356

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?

47.5% implied · bid 46.0¢ · ask 49.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 50.0%, down 4.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability50.0%
Bid / ask / mid46.0¢ / 49.0¢ / 47.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (6.3%)
Change 24h-4.00pt
Change 7d-7.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$646
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$402 / $1,675
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score36.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 18 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.54
RSI (14, hourly)18.2
Realized vol 7d0.99pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 118d 12h.

Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth