← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2491284
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?
59.0% implied · bid 58.0¢ · ask 60.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 59.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability59.0%
Bid / ask / mid58.0¢ / 60.0¢ / 59.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.4%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$245
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,562 / $1,173
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.26
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.19pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 483d 12h.
Time to resolve483d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%