← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2491285
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?
49.5% implied · bid 48.0¢ · ask 51.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 50.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability50.0%
Bid / ask / mid48.0¢ / 51.0¢ / 49.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (6.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$162 / $2,431
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score36.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.34
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.16pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 483d 12h.
Time to resolve483d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%