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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2491315

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?

38.5% implied · bid 38.0¢ · ask 39.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 42.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability42.0%
Bid / ask / mid38.0¢ / 39.0¢ / 38.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.6%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-3.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 24% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,017
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$226 / $260
Imbalance24% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.44
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.29pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 299d 11h.

Time to resolve299d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth