Refacto TerminalPolymarket
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2491316

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?

57.0% implied · bid 56.0¢ · ask 58.0¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 58.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability58.0%
Bid / ask / mid56.0¢ / 58.0¢ / 57.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 53% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$16
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,336 / $442
Imbalance53% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 8.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean8.04
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.14pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 483d 12h.

Time to resolve483d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth