← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2491342

Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?

0.7% implied · bid 0.6¢ · ask 0.8¢

The market prices this at 0.8%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.8%

Bid / ask / mid0.6¢ / 0.8¢ / 0.7¢

Spread0.2¢ (28.6%)

Change 24h+0.25pt

Change 7d-1.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,690

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$92 / $462

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.3 / 100

RSI 86 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.10

RSI (14, hourly)85.7

Realized vol 7d0.11pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 26d 11h.

Time to resolve26d 11h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%