← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2510767
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
41.5% implied · bid 41.0¢ · ask 42.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 42.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability42.0%
Bid / ask / mid41.0¢ / 42.0¢ / 41.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 58/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 26% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,410
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$21,107 / $4,959
Imbalance26% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score58.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.43
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.44pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 117d 5h.
Time to resolve117d 5h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%