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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2587796

Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?

0.6% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 0.7¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.7%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.7%
Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 0.7¢ / 0.6¢
Spread0.2¢ (33.3%)
Change 24h-0.15pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$25,835
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$40 / $973
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.25
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.09pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 5d 19h.

Time to resolve5d 19h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth