← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2587797

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

99.4% implied · bid 99.3¢ · ask 99.4¢

The market prices this at 99.3%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability99.3%

Bid / ask / mid99.3¢ / 99.4¢ / 99.4¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)

Change 24h+0.10pt

Change 7d+1.45pt

Deep and tight (score 78/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 86% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$1,986

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$48,896 / $8,729

Imbalance86% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score78.3 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.38

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.09pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 5d 19h.

Time to resolve5d 19h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%