← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2587798

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

0.2% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.3¢

The market prices this at 0.3%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.3%

Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.3¢ / 0.2¢

Spread0.2¢ (100.0%)

Change 24h+0.05pt

Change 7d-0.05pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,972

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$44 / $496

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.3 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.04

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.06pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 5d 19h.

Time to resolve5d 19h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%