← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2589811
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
3.0% implied · bid 2.5¢ · ask 3.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.6%, down 1.1pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.
Implied probability3.6%
Bid / ask / mid2.5¢ / 3.6¢ / 3.0¢
Spread1.1¢ (36.1%)
Change 24h-1.05pt
Change 7d-0.65pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$55,307
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12,192 / $1,547
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score51.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 40 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.08
RSI (14, hourly)39.8
Realized vol 7d0.20pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 54d 7h.
Time to resolve54d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%