← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2589812
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
68.5% implied · bid 68.0¢ · ask 69.0¢
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The market prices this at 68.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability68.0%
Bid / ask / mid68.0¢ / 69.0¢ / 68.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.5%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$14,880
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$31,223 / $301,250
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 5.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-5.65
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 54d 7h.
Time to resolve54d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%