← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2589813

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

26.5% implied · bid 26.0¢ · ask 27.0¢

The market prices this at 27.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability27.0%

Bid / ask / mid26.0¢ / 27.0¢ / 26.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (3.8%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+1.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 75/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$20,701

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$38,120 / $21,816

Imbalance4% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score75.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.91

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.08pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 54d 7h.

Time to resolve54d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%