← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2589814

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

0.8% implied · bid 0.7¢ · ask 0.8¢

The market prices this at 0.7%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.7%

Bid / ask / mid0.7¢ / 0.8¢ / 0.8¢

Spread0.1¢ (13.3%)

Change 24h-0.05pt

Change 7d-0.30pt

Moderately liquid (score 57/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$13,072

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,548 / $165

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score57.4 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.25

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.02pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 54d 7h.

Time to resolve54d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%