← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2589833
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
33.0% implied · bid 32.0¢ · ask 34.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 34.0%, down 3.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability34.0%
Bid / ask / mid32.0¢ / 34.0¢ / 33.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (6.1%)
Change 24h-3.50pt
Change 7d-8.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,484
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$192 / $288
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 13 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.37
RSI (14, hourly)12.5
Realized vol 7d1.40pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 54d 7h.
Time to resolve54d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%