← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2589834

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

1.4% implied · bid 1.1¢ · ask 1.7¢

The market prices this at 3.5%, down 0.9pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.

Implied probability3.5%

Bid / ask / mid1.1¢ / 1.7¢ / 1.4¢

Spread0.6¢ (42.9%)

Change 24h-0.90pt

Change 7d-0.45pt

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$791

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$39 / $262

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score47.2 / 100

RSI 19 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean4.04

RSI (14, hourly)19.2

Realized vol 7d0.16pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 54d 7h.

Time to resolve54d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%