← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2589837
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
63.5% implied · bid 62.0¢ · ask 65.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 62.0%, up 4.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability62.0%
Bid / ask / mid62.0¢ / 65.0¢ / 63.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (4.7%)
Change 24h+4.50pt
Change 7d+7.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,518
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$557 / $1,950
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score36.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.04
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.95pt
Change 1h+1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 54d 7h.
Time to resolve54d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%