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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2589855

Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?

1.1% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 1.2¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.2%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability1.2%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 1.2¢ / 1.1¢
Spread0.2¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7d-10.90pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$953
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$498 / $111
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.33
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.37pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 13d 23h.

Time to resolve13d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth